Over the past 12 months, he ranks third in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee. For all intents and purposes, Smiths the second-hottest player in the world, and hes getting the seventh-best odds in the field. Probably the first four, five events, I played with some pretty decent pain, he said at the Mexico Open. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks fourth in ball striking, and second in strokes gained approach. His highest finish was a T-4 in 2018. 1 golfer ranks first in "Strokes Gained: Total" over his past 50 rounds on Dye courses. PGA Championship sleepers One sleeper McClure is targeting this week at Southern Hills is Cameron Young, who is a massive 80-1 long shot at Caesars. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. In his past two starts, Champ has been channeling that power into better scoring, with a T10 at the Masters and T6 at the Mexico Open. This. Young isnt a flash in the pan either. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Among the top qualifiers for the Championship are Scottie Sheffler, Will Zalatoris, and Cameron Smith. Southern Hills is arather long course. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. Hottest golfer on the planet. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports. We got it all, chickens, goats, you name it. He missed the cut at The Byron Nelson at high ownership. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. shot lead in the second round of the PGA Tour's Arnold Palmer Invitational on Friday.The Spaniard had taken a two-shot lead on Thursday with a seven-under-par 65 . 1 in the world and is golfs current darling, but Rahm is one of golfs fiercest competitors. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. He has made the cut in each of his eight tournaments since then, culminating in last week's T5 finish, which was his best career PGA TOUR . Scott ranks fifth in the world in Strokes Gained: Putting over the last year. Why not now? For whatever reason, hes embraced Perry Maxwell designs during his career. Speaking of 2012, that's the last time we were back here when Rory McIlroy destroyed the competition. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. No real weaknesses. Will Zalatoris ($8,900) - Never thought Id be able to write up Will Zalatoris as a pivot option. America East Tournament Odds: Vermont To Claim Consecutive Titles. Over the last 12 months, he ranks ninth in the world in True Strokes Gained, per DataGolf. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Hes healthy: Toward the end of last year, Champ suffered a left wrist injury, and the effects may have crept into his swing. My wife rides horses, she got back into that. Cameron Young plays his shot on the 12th hole during the first round of the RBC Heritage at Harbor Town Golf Links on April 14, 2022, in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. Im not sure hes ready to get the job done on a major stage, but Robert MacIntyre is one of golfs up-and-comers who has been playing well of late. Potential shortstop sleepers. Among the deluge of Camerons on the PGA TOUR, 25-year-old American Cameron Young deserves some shine. Yang, +100,000. the winner of the PGA Tour's Barracuda Championship in 2021 . Recent PGA Championship Winners (Opening odds) 2021: Phil Mickelson (+15000)2020: Collin Morikawa (+6000)2019: Brooks Koepka (+1400)2018: Brooks Koepka (+2000)2017: Justin Thomas (+3000)2016:. After a T13 at THE PLAYERS this year, his best finish in that event, he seems poised to make the next logical leap. Champ offers tremendous value if the public is on to something, so lets zoom in. The PGA Championship returns to Kiawah Island's Ocean Course for a second time, nine years after Rory McIlroy's dominant eight-shot victory at the famed Pete Dye design. Fitzpatrick is an excellent player from tee to green but ranks 47th in one-putt percentage. With the wind, Southern Hills should play difficult. Why not Schauffele, to break the major-less streak, at +2,500? He has, however, found a way to grind out finishes in the majors in his career. He ranks top 40 in this field in approach, around the green, putting, sand saves, bogey avoidance and three-putt avoidance. In my case for Max Homa, I argued that while there are differences between weekly PGA Tournaments and majors, good golf will find a way to translate. This number jumps off the board a bit, since it doesnt mesh with Goochs resume entering the PGA Championship. So, if he can blast some quality drives and make putts, he could be a surprise contender. In his 10 starts since the Ryder Cup, Cantlay has a win and six top-10s. We hate touts. Hes not playing like a sleeper with a T2 and T3 in his past two starts and on two very different golf courses (TPC Potomac and Harbour Town). Sleeper pick: Cameron Champ, +10,000. 2022 PGA Championship Bettors' Roundtable: Favorites, Sleepers and Best Bets for Southern Hills Who looks ready to raise the Wanamaker? So, golfers won't get stuck as often as they used to with errant tee shots. Rahm, a 10-time PGA Tour champion, is listed as the 7-1 favorite in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds. The value is just too good to pass up. MacIntyre is a great ball striker who plays well in the wind. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. 2022 PGA Championship Fantasy Sleeper Report. 2021 PGA Championship Overview 2. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. He has gained strokes on approach in four out of his last five events. There's no place like home, and K.H. Woods is set to participate in the event this year; he missed it in 2021 while recovering from injuries sustained in a Feb. 23 car crash earlier that year. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA. Taking sleeper picks is. TV Broadcast: GOLFTV. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. To have a really good day, players will need to do that and sink some puts on the greens, which may play slower than those at other majors. your golf bets? Crazy talent. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. His play outperforms his salary and current projected ownership. 5:06 pm ET, 2023 Masters picks, field, odds, best bets, date, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Sleepers to consider for the 2022 PGA Championship, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win, Davis Love III enthused about golf's young stars. "They're just covering their ass and saying everything that the PGA Tour basically has trained them to say", "Playing the cutline is one of the toughest things in golf. (Photo: Nick Wass/Associated Press). But, with three top-20 finishes over five career Arnold Palmer Invitational appearances, he can still be an active contributor in DraftKings lineups. This season, despite only one stroke play top 10 on U.S. soil, Scott has been playing like a potential tournament winner. No, hes not hurt. Previewing the 2023 Puerto Rico Open with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. The course is a rather long one at 7,556 yardsand plays to a par of 70. In 14 starts this calendar year, Higgs has just one top-15 finish and five made cuts. Some sleepers heading into the 2022 PGA at Southern Hills, Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Golfers should expect tough conditions and high winds this week. SBR - trusted by bettors for over 20 years. Yeah, youll get a lot of the favorites because those are name bets of course, folks are going to pick the Rorys and the Tigers because thats whom they know. This one feels too easy. He ranks second on the tour in SG:OTT and ninth in one-putt percentage. But every so often you see a Cameron Champ, a name that makes you almost wonder: What does everyone else know that I dont? Once you get past the favorites, these PGA Championship dark horse picks have long odds but a real sleeper chance to win at Southern Hills. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Other than being ranked seventhin "Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green," his metrics don't pop off the charts. Hes not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but hes also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, PGA Championship expert picks to win, sleepers to watch at Southern Hills, What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. Rahm has finished top-10 in five of the past six majors, including a win at last years U.S. Open. But again, it was a good time off, but definitely enjoyed being out here more.. BMW Championship picks 2022: Top 10s Caddie: Mito Pereira (+750, Bet365) He's got the length and the iron play to contend here, so a positive putting week and you're in business at these. We also have a variable of wind and a possibility of a tee time advantage. Looking at the course, the putting grass thats going to be used is called paspalum, which is popular on European tracks. Lets dig in and find some winners! Several winners in previous years will also be competing, which include Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. Historically strong with the putter in hand, Young has run into a speed bump on the greens the last month, but if that club comes around in Tulsa, Young should find his name on the first page of the leaderboard. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! He won the PGA Championship in 2017 and tied for sixth in the event in 2018. The Course: The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island 3. He finished in a tie for third the following year but has not factored in a major since. If Southern Hills is going to be a tee to green fest, Henley has to be considered. MORE: Why Phil Mickelson will not defend his PGA Championship title. PGA Championship sleeper picks If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring, Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000) each have the potential to outperform expectations. While the golf world stirred itself into a frenzy, the tournaments being played since the Masters havent been very inspiring for golf fans. Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. That means it's time to pick your optimal DraftKings fantasy golf lineup for the season's. This +11500 number is exclusively at WynnBet. Out of his 10 professional wins, six have come on the European Tour on links-style courses. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. I'm not going out on a limb here with Hovland, as I'm sure he will be on many people's cards this week. Shane Lowry (+2800)is fresh off a top-three finish at the 2022 Masters and looks poised to do well on this course. Try selecting a different location. If you are stacking an AM/PM tee time this week, it could also be advantageous to make PM/AM stacks as well. His T14 at Augusta was his best major finish to date. Now lets dig into some longshots.. At these odds, I had to throw some money down on him. That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. About the only thing that fans know for certain is that we won't have a repeat champion, as Phil Mickelson won't be participating in the event amid an ongoing feud with the PGA Tour. The PGA Tour had a weird 2022. While he may be on the wrong side off the tee time waves, I believe he could play well this weekend. He's always been in contention at the PGA Championship events and plays well at Dye courses, so I couldn't lay off of him. The 30-year-old Englishmen has underperformed this year for how well he has played. Hes played well in majors before with a runner-up at the 2019 Open, runner-up at the 2018 U.S. Open, and fourth place at the 2017 U.S. Open. To-win: Jordan Spieth, +1,800. I know DJ withdrew from the AT&T Byron Nelson last Monday and hasn't been sharp recently, but I can't resist betting him at these odds, especially in his home state. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. He's confident, and the putter is starting to become a friend once again. Sleeper pick: Ill give you two! Think like a pro, bet like a pro, win like a pro. A T-3 at the Farmers, leading the Wells Fargo after 36 holes, and two solid opening rounds last week before a Saturday 73 plummeted him down the leaderboard. He has made the cut in each of his last eight starts including a 12th place finish last week in which he gained strokes in all four major categories (his 4th top 12 in 2022). He's long, he's straight, and he's an absolute menace from tee to green. Check out some of the sleepers in the 2022 PGA Championship below. There are a few solid, mid-tier values on this week's card. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images). Sure, this season has been all about Scottie Scheffler, but these odds are too good to pass up for a player experiencing a similar meteoric rise this season. Hes trending: Over his past three events, he tied for 10th at the Masters, tied for sixth at the Mexico Open, and tied for 38th at last weeks Byron Nelson. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Here is a look at five sleepers you should consider farther down the PGA Championship odds board as offered by Caesars Sportsbook. Furthermore, hes been a consistent gainer with his around-the-green play, even if hes not elite in that area. To-win: Scottie Scheffler, +1,100. This isnt the same Southern Hills where Tiger won in 2007. However, it could lead to a similar situation to The Players Championship. No golfer has won the PGA Championship more than Jack Nicklaus. Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering, Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule. He made the most birdies (22) of any player at Augusta National, and as late at the 11th hole on Masters Sunday, the Aussie was in position to give Scheffler a run for the green jacket. His recent success has him leading the world in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green over the last 30 days. Scheffler has knocked Jordan Spieth off the Texas golf throne with his stellar play these past few months. Jon Rahm was sort of MIA early in 2022, but a win in his latest start is encouraging. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? PGA Championship dark horse picks: 5 sleepers who could win at Southern HIlls Feb. 13, 2022; Scottsdale Arizona, USA; Chris Kirk tees off on the 16th hole during the final round of the WM. In 2018, he finished secondat both the Open Championship and at the U.S. Open. Rory McIlroy is next in line at 19-2, with defending champion Scottie Scheffler at 11-1. The putter will need to get hot for him to walk away with the trophy, but he could end up in the top 10 even with a cold one. He became the oldest major winner in golf the first over 50 years of age with his two-stroke win over Louis Oosthuizen in 2021. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. To-win: Cameron Smith, +2,000. Read below for our favorite sleepers and longshots in the outright, T10 and T20 markets. Most people don't realize how good Berger has beenrecently and over the past year. Then again, Im searching for value at a major. Obviously, a lot has. Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? You arent finding any other player with four wins since 2019 being offered at odds this high. If you're looking for picks that are a bit more daring,Keegan Bradley (+6500) and Cameron Young (+8000)each have the potential to outperform expectations. Berger, he said, is as impressive as anybody.. Of course, Young's weakness is the all-important approach game, where he ranks 83rd in SG:APR. So I had to fight through it and just get the muscle back. PGA Championship picks, best odds, sleepers to win 2021 tournament, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 3 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 2 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 1 - Singles, PGA Championship 2021 : Round 4 - Singles. In his two starts at major championships, Higgs has finished in the top 15. The Big Rig has not been playing stellar golf lately, missing every cut since the Masters, but hes shown an ability to grind out scores on difficult courses. Phil Mickelsonis not in the field for the first time since 1992. His driver is a skill that will translate. Speaking of high numbers! 1 Scottie Scheffler. Picks K-free bet up to $1,000. No more. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. Henley has numerous tour victories in windy conditions. But yeah, right now, its been good; Ive had no issues. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. Cantlay 6McIlroy 5MorikawaThomasHoma 4SchefflerDJRahmC. Shop around because I was still seeing some +2000's out there. His putter, considered a liability in the wake of the anchoring ban, is now a weapon. Overall, the field is absolutely stacked, so this will be fun to watch, especially come Sunday. In GPPs I like the idea of having a few shares of Woods he can grind and scramble his way around. PGA Championship 2021: Odds for Sleepers and Favorites at Kiawah Island Joe Tansey May 17, 2021 Jacob Kupferman/Associated Press Five first-time men's golf major winners have been crowned in. Champ: Were in Houston, Texas. The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 at Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando. One of those two was the champion at this venue back in 2007 a golfer by the name Tiger Woods. I went back and forth here with fellow Englishman Paul Casey, but I settled on Hatton for a few reasons. Joe Nicely's under-the-radar DraftKings, FanDuel PGA DFS picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. This week, we shift our sights onto the Ocean Course at Kiawah Islandwhere the track measures at 7,876 yards for a par 72. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. To-win: Jon Rahm, +1,200. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). . hot putters. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +2,500: I have it on good authority that an elite ball-striker is going to win the PGA. Bezuidenhout is another player who excels in windy conditions. The same can be said of Young. The Twitter handle is a joke. There isnt a hotter golfer on the planet, except world No. There are two players that stick out as solid winner bets for this weekend's major: Justin Thomas (+1200) and Viktor Hovland (+2500).