For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. An unimaginably long time. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. So whats the probability of your existing? Its maddening to see people worry so much. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Then the probability of Mr. Please pass this post along. Part of HuffPost Wellness. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Step 1. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Probability is a pure odd. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Which ones bigger? Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures).
what are the chances of being born in america I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10.
You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Something was dropped and then picked up. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Which one's bigger? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. That's 150,000 generations. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting.
Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. But Im not mathy. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. June 24, 2022 . When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Why? The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14).
Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy Is that an African fly or a European one? Well surely reply you within 48 hours. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. So far, so good. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Step 3. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you.
dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. So what's the probability of your being born? This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Part of HuffPost Wellness.
The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. dr ali binazir odds of being born. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . You can start the series by clicking HERE. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Why? Dr. Then the probability of Mr. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Scripture says. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second.
chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Step 1. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex.
Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom On one try.. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also.
You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation."
The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. How fast does a laden fly fly? Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg?
Ali Binazir (Author of The Tao Of Dating) - Goodreads The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. I think that was exactly Msgr. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible.
Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen Are they gross exaggerations? The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. So what's the probability of your being born? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Step 1.
Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world.
dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And worry and fear?
The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low Thank you, Monsignor. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Wowser. Were all winners in life without doing anything!
Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Now things start getting interesting. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Or stalk me (with love.). mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform.